For ice jams on smaller rivers, typical values of Lj/Lr ~
The river length from the ICS site to East Aurora is
0.1, Bj/Br ~ 2, hj/ti ~ 4 result in Ct ~ 0.5.
about 11 miles. Along this reach, the average cover
Nearly all of the available estimates of Ct, including
width should be about 100 ft. A good estimate of the
ones based on jams in Cazenovia Creek, equal or exceed
maximum average ice thickness immediately prior to
breakup is 1.5 ft. This yields an ice volume of 9 106
0.3. The exception is for an ice jam on the Winooski
ft3, which we may increase to 10 106 ft3 to allow for
River (which flooded Montpelier, Vermont, in March
1992), whose contributing reach was very short and had
minor ice supply from the east and west branches (U.S.
few overbank areas to strand ice. Therefore, although
Army 1986b). This becomes our best estimate for the
an average value of 0.5 could be justified, we will use
pre-breakup ice supply, Vr.
Ct = 0.3 as a conservative estimate for transport losses.
Transport losses
Ice melting
Field measurements have shown that the ice volume
Ice breakup normally occurs as a result of rapid
in a breakup jam can be substantially less than the vol-
snowmelt or rainfall during periods of above-freezing
ume of the pre-breakup ice cover on the contributing
air temperatures. Upstream of an ice jam, airwater
river reach. The formation of shear walls and the strand-
ing of ice floes on small floodplains are the main trans-
friction, and geothermal flux will all add heat to the
port losses occurring during an ice run. The transport
river. Under the assumption that little ice remains
loss coefficient, Ct, is defined as the ratio of ice vol-
upstream or that it has been stranded above the water
ume lost during a breakup run to the volume of the pre-
level during the breakup surge, this heat flux will raise
breakup ice cover. It is thought to increase with the
the temperature of water entering the head of the jam.
length of contributing reach (U.S. Army 1982).
The resulting melting (and weakening) of ice floes within
Table 4 lists values of the Ct available in the litera-
a jam can be significant during long-duration, high-
ture and those calculated here for the 1972 and 1985
discharge events. Although loss of jam volume may not
ice jams on Cazenovia Creek. We derived the latter
be visibly obvious, these effects probably couple with
values using reported jam locations and lengths (U.S.
rising hydrodynamic forces to release natural ice jams.
Army 1972, Predmore 1985). The transport loss coef-
Table 5 presents measurements of water tempera-
ficient is related to the ice-supply and ice-jam parame-
ture entering breakup ice jams. Because of the high flow
ters as follows:
velocities and ice-jam roughness, nearly all the avail-
Lj Bj hj
⋅ (1 - p)
Ct = 1 -
⋅
able heat is transferred to ice melting within about
(3)
Lr Br ti
1 mile. If the jam is longer than this, ice melting at the
upstream end will predominate. As the jam shortens,
where L
= length of the jam
some warm water will persist to the toe and melt or
B
= width of the jam
weaken ice preferentially along main flow paths. In the
hj
= thickness of the jam
case of a jam at an ICS, this process contributes to its
p
= porosity of the jam, assumed to be 0.4
ultimate release or washout.
(Prowse 1990)
The sensible heat of water is 1 Btu/lbm F or about
Lr = length of the contributing ice cover
62 Btu/ft3 F. The latent heat of fusion for ice is 144
Br = width of the contributing ice cover
Btu/lbm or about 8200 Btu/ft3 for solid ice (specific
ti = average ice thickness of the contributing
gravity 0.92). Assuming 100% of the sensible heat of the
ice cover.
Table 4. Transport loss coefficients for breakup ice jams.
Contributing
Transport
reach, Lr
loss coefficient
Reference
River
(mi.)
Ct
Comments
Calkins (1978)
Ottaquechee R.
26
0.9
Assumed jam porosity of 0.4
14
0.9
(Prowse 1986).
Prowse (1986)
Liard R.
300
0.8
Entire event.
94
0.4
Last 24 hours of movement.
Cumming-Cockburn (1986)
Credit R.
9
0.5
3 years of field surveys.
Tuthill et al. (1996)
Winooski R.
3
0
Short reach, few overbank areas.
This work
Cazenovia Cr.
12
0.30.5
1972 ice jam.
16
0.30.5
1985 ice jam.
14
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