Table 15. Predicted applications to failure ( 1000) from simulations of flexible test sections run in Phase 2A
series.
Horizontal criteria
Vertical criteria
Asp. Inst.
Asp. Inst. Corps of
Coetzee/
Asp. Inst.
Corps of
Cases
MS-1
MS-11 Engineers
Connor
MS-1
Engineers
FAA
5-YEAR
F1W9
Phase 1
86
498
88
4,380
136,942
5,653
11,879
Schmidt
85
414
78
3,557
244,709
3,297
15,665
Ullidtz
651
935
218
17,616
258,179
3,430
17,025
Ull-15K
617
863
201
15,578
213,193
3,133
18,441
F2W9
Phase 1
522
1,244
550
42,703
32,477
1,345
1,526
Schmidt
271
859
259
14,634
210,011
2,840
11,389
Ullidtz
970
1,429
376
37,053
255,832
3,262
15,488
Ull-15K
908
1,303
340
31,925
117,747
1,971
6,649
F3W8
Phase 1
957
1,706
958
92,419
116,287
2,653
9,611
Schmidt
533
1,224
487
32,818
96,046
1,197
7,298
Ullidtz
1,255
1,842
528
58,812
87,260
1,108
6,381
Ull-15K
1,225
1,705
503
54,327
115,098
1,404
10,501
F4W6
>107
Phase 1
28,585
75,751
90,926
3,715
15
152
>107
Schmidt
45,171
121,039
175,884
4,505
314
164
>107
Ullidtz
65,218
123,699
149,292
11,952
317
246
Ull-15K
7,055
26,561
8,219
3,752,200
7,996
331
467
10-YEAR
F14W50
>107
Phase 1
103,272
485,198
605,194
8,602
10
251
>107
Schmidt
126,479
721,577
970,397
11,687
417
336
>107
Ullidtz
209,230
760,581
852,773
17,107
412
359
>107
Ull-15K
19,902
153,779
40,903
26,943
787
2,232
F19W18
Phase 1
396
6,148
966
75,751
2,962,263
56,680
457,585
Schmidt
309
4,335
635
43,328
4,329,462
37,175
632,393
Ullidtz
2,948
14,480
2,278
574,316
4,329,462
37,422
639,580
Ull-15K
2,688
12,367
1,976
469,025
1,125,660
18,173
264,239
F21W18
Phase 1
3,394
30,456
12,751
2,010,107
562,830
84,382
42,478
Schmidt
1,958
16,072
4,701
420,022
865,892
10,452
70,442
Ullidtz
8,515
33,402
9,343
3,752,200
792,718
9,689
61,849
Ull-15K
6,661
23,335
6,513
2,345,125
457,585
8,752
66,686
F22W45
Phase 1
7,614
57,315
31,147
8,040,429
73,190
22,415
3,388
Schmidt
1,750
21,507
5,070
493,711
68,388
1,078
3,077
Ullidtz
8,235
42,964
9,192
3,752,200
85,667
1,278
4,297
Ull-15K
6,186
26,045
5,986
2,084,556
120,520
2,086
9,840
Notes:
Phase 1--previous work, Schmidt-- new series with Schmidt asphalt model, Ullidtz--new series with Ullidtz
asphalt model above 1C, Ull-15K--new series with Ullidtz asphalt model and summer subgrade modulus =
15K lb/in.2 (103,000 kPa). Traffic simulated at rate of 562,830 ESAL applications/yr.
26