that Bread Truck pond will start to drain in 2 to 3
all of the flow in the Eagle River; the north
years or less. In about 6 to 7 years, In-Between
channel was inundated only during tidal flood-
Gully will drain parts of C and Lawson's ponds,
ing (Fig. 34b). The southern channel remained the
and in about 14 to 16 years, Parachute Gully will
principal discharge until sometime between 1967
drain parts of C-Pond (Fig. 35a). Previously, more
and 1972, when flow was reestablished in the
limited short-term data suggested that that Bread
north channel (Fig. 34d). Multiple channels then
Truck Pond would begin to drain in 35 to 50
remained active throughout the 1980s and 1990's
years, while the In-Between and Parachute gul-
(Fig. 34c); however, in September 1995, flooding
lies would begin to drain C-Pond in 17 to 20 years
of the Eagle River resulted in abandonment of the
and 25 to 30 years respectively (Fig. 35b). The
southern channel as the northern channel was
drastic change in our predictions reflects the in-
deeply scoured and eroded eastward into the up-
crease in data obtained on the highly variable
land bluffs.
short-term rates of erosion, and the longer-term
historical rates. The historical data average the
variability seen in the short-term observational
data and are considered more accurate for pre-
Given the combined short-term and long-term
dicting future gully behavior.
recessional data, we revise our previous predic-
Gullies are routes for pond outflow and there-
tion of how long it will take for the ponds to be
fore potential pathways for WP transport. As the
drained naturally (see Lawson et al. 1996). These
gullies continue headward erosion into WP-con-
refined recessional data (Tables 8 and 9) indicate
Pond Beyond
Pond Beyond
MG
MG
BT
BT
2-3 Years
35-50 Years
BrePd Truck
a
BrePd Truck
a
N
N
ond
ond
6-7 Years
17-20 Years
l
l
PC
PC
Eag
Eag
14-16 Years
25-30 Years
C Pond
C Pond
BG
BG
P
Erosion Site
Erosion Site
P
Dredicted Erosion
Dredicted Erosion
0
200
400 m
0
200
400 m
Rirection
Rirection
elict Drainage
elict Drainage
a. 1995.
b. 1994.
Figure 35. Predictions for pond drainage by selected gullies in Areas C, Bread Truck and C/D.
46