Table 3. Dates of first significant ice and ice-out for north-
ern Cook Inlet (defined as 10% ice concentration at the
Phillips Platform). Extreme minimum and maximum dates
are in bold. The 1984-85 season experienced an initial
ice-out and refreeze on Feb. 13th. (After Brower et al.
1988.)
Ice season
First Ice
Ice-Out
1969-70
Nov 18
Mar 23
1970-71
May 7
Oct 17
1971-72
Nov 23
May 15
1972-73
Nov 13
Apr 10
1973-74
Nov 18
Apr 6
1974-75
Nov 24
Apr 9
1975-76
Nov 12
Apr 10
1976-77
Dec 17
Apr 9
1977-78
Nov 20
Mar 18
1978-79
Dec 16
Mar 31
1979-80
Dec 12
Mar 26
1980-81
Dec 6
Mar 10
1981-82
Nov 20
Apr 19
1982-83
Nov 29
Mar 21
1983-84
Dec 14
Mar 20
1984-85
Feb 13
Dec 17
Feb 13
Apr 17
1985-86
Nov 5
Apr 18
Mean s.d.*
Nov 25 17 days
Apr 7 18 days
(Nov 8 Dec 12)
(Apr 9 Apr 25)
Median*
Nov 23
Apr 9
Earliest*
Oct 17
Mar 10
Latest*
Dec 17
May 15
*Assumes only the first "First Ice" period and last "Ice-Out" period for
the 1984-85 season.
the atmosphere. While the latter three factors remain
Although the number of years studied was small
nearly constant from year to year, the fact that ice con-
(11 winters) and the scatter large, one relation-
ditions are highly variable from season to season in-
ship was found to be significant. Ice formation in the
dicates that other factors are involved. The ice condi-
Upper Inlet correlated reasonably well with Anchor-
age FDDs, using a base of 3.9C. Their analysis
tions are also related to topographic, meteorological,
oceanographic, and sometimes even geological phe-
showed the Lower Inlet to be much less well corre-
nomena. The factors that can vary greatly and typi-
lated. These data are shown in Table 4 and plotted in
cally favor ice growth (Brower et al. 1988) include
Figure 10.
The hydrodynamic and meteorological environ-
Radiational cooling,
ments are responsible for the large quantity of ice that
Cold, freshwater influx from stream flow discharge,
is produced annually in Cook Inlet. The long season
Snow falling on the sea surface and melting, and
of freezing temperatures, the large tidal range, the high
Cold air mass advection.
current velocity, and the shallow bottom depths all
favor ice production. The latter three make for a tur-
On the other hand, many factors discourage ice
bulent water column and continuous surface flux that
growth in Cook Inlet. Examples of the more predict-
inhibits the growth of a stable ice cover, which can act
able are
as an insulating blanket and prevent heat exchange to
15