with such important parameters as river hydrau-
cal records. Ice jams at North Bend are often asso-
lics and geometry. We used both the regression
ciated with ice jams at other study locations, and
approach and the threshold approach to develop
few jams occur at other locations in the absence of
a prediction model.
some ice event at North Bend. Therefore, the pre-
To select a site on which to base the predictive
dictive model developed for this study is based
model, the ice events described previously are
on USGS gaging station records for gage #0679600
summarized in Table 13 for the period 19501990.
(Platte River at North Bend) and NWS data for
Of the seven sites chosen for detailed analysis in
Columbus, Nebraska.
the Section 22 Study, the Platte River at North
The normalized stage (i.e. the ratio between
Bend provides the best combination of ice data
the stage and flood stage) was used as an indica-
and long-term stage, discharge and meteorologi-
tor of the severity of a given ice event. A high
Table 13. Known ice events during the period 1950 through 1990.
Loup River
Water
Loup River
at Columbus
Platte River
Platte River Platte River
Platte River
Platte River Platte/Elkhorn
Year
between Columbus and Genoa
at North Bend
at Big Island at Leshara North of Hwy 64 at Hwy 92
Confluence
1950
X
XX
1951
X
1952
XX
1953
X
1954
1955
X
1956
1957
1958
X
X
1959
X
X
1960
XX
1961
X
X
1962
XX
X
1963
X
X
X
1964
1965
XX
1966
X
XX
1967
1968
1969
XX
XX
1970
X
X
X
1971
XX
XX
XX
XX
1972
XX
XX
1973
X
X
1974
XX
X
XX
1975
X
X
1976
X
X
X
1977
XX
X
X
1978
XX
X
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
1979
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
X
XX
X
1980
XX
XX
XX
XX
1981
XX
1982
XX
X
XX
X
X
XX
XX
1983
XX
XX
1984
XX
X
XX
XX
1985
XX
XX
XX
X
X
1986
XX
X
XX
X
1987
1988
X
XX
1989
XX
XX
X
1990
Note: X
=
recorded ice event below flood stage
XX
=
recorded ice event above flood stage (not necessarily significant flooding)
25