Fig. 11.29. Example plot of model output, showing the ensemble model domain.
Each ensemble member was initialized using the LAPS hot-start method of diabatic
initialization. The Eta model, which provided lateral boundary conditions, was updated
only four times daily 0300, 0900, 1500, and 2100 UTC (3 AM, 9 AM, 3 PM, and 9 PM
CST), so lateral boundary data were interpolated in time for the off-cycle MDSS model
runs.
The MDSS model forecasts are evaluated by comparisons against hourly observations of
surface temperature, wind, dewpoint (humidity) and precipitation. For this report, hourly
precipitation observations were binned for comparison to 3-h model precipitation
accumulations.
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